New order? New challenge?

The first American troops arrived in Poland on Wednesday

Since Geneva agreement it has been few relatively calm days to sit and think about what exactly happened so far.

Nothing much, to be honest. Ukraine only lost Crimea. A big deal?

According to piece of Paul Goble, it is a rather big deal, especially for people in Crimea. Or actually not?At least for the West. British intelligence chiefs have warned Prime Minister David Cameron already not to step in as "it’s not worth starting World War Three over Ukraine." And it all seems exactly like that - nobody wants to step in to offer a helping hand to Ukraine. Because it's just Ukraine.

Maybe Ukraine is really not worth anything, but how about NATO allies? More and more experts points towards Baltic and especially Latvia as possible next target for Russia to excercise it's new war technology, based not on tanks but democracy which actually makes NATO's Article Five, on whose  Latvians rely, useless.

Goble (who's expertise on Russia had been proven by years) is quite categorically about Latvia as the next target. And while few question that NATO would respond to an overt Russian military move into Latvia or any other NATO member country, the Western defense alliance is not designed to counter the kind of subversion that Moscow has already used in Ukraine and that it could deploy in Latvia to undermine that country’s independence and test the alliance as well without using tanks, to cross the border. 
Fun, isn't it?