It feels like we all are doomed
already. We are trapped in the situation
when if we do, we are doomed, and if we don’t, we are doomed, too. I
really feel for the Ukrainian soldiers yesterday when they approached Kramatorsk
and were facing dilemma – to surrender or start firing at civilians who were
used by pro-Russian separatists as a live shield. It was the exact situation we all are facing
right now.
If the Western allies will join to help
Ukraine to resist Russia’s attempts, there is a great danger of triggering a military
escalation on a much larger scale - well, let’s use the exact word –
WAR - right in the middle of Europe. Just imagine – Russia would need just few
nukes to change the whole picture in densely populated Europe forever.
If the Western allies will decide not to
protect Ukraine, Russia without a hesitation will reach for the next bite
which, most likely will be the Baltic States (who, unlike Ukraine, are EU and
NATO members). In that case Russia will destroy the whole political order which
had been established after the WWII in the West, destroying the whole idea of
unions like EU and NATO.
Tough decision, isn’t it?
On a personal note, as one who went through
the whole fun of Soviet collapse in the Baltic States twenty five years ago, I’m
paralysed with fear right now. Each time when one political analyst or another
points that the next Russia’s target, most likely, will be the Baltic States, I
shiver.
There is no way for me “back in the USSR”
again. We rushed to join EU and NATO as fast as possible not because we truly
wanted to join EU, and even less NATO, but it was our only hope to run away safely
from the Russia’s “welcome back” party. We believed that we shall be safe then.
It seems now that it was just another naive illusion because right now the
whole Western alliance looks so incapable and weak to make any decisions.
Is there any hope at all?
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